Read the work
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Four deliverables in the formats clients receive. The subjects, places and facts are fictional; the structure, grading and wording rules are the ones we work to.
Assessment brief
A judgment on one question, bottom line first.
QUESTION
Has production resumed at Facility A (fictional) after the September shutdown?
BOTTOM LINE
Production at Facility A has likely (55–80%) resumed since 28 September. We have moderate confidence in this judgment: two independent thermal detections and one on-site observation support it, but no shipping data is yet available.
WHAT WE SAW
B2Satellite thermal detections at the site on 29 Sep and 1 Oct.
C3A regional trade outlet reports night-shift hiring at the plant.
FIELD2 Oct: trucks entering the loading bay, observed from a public road; photo screened for manipulation, provenance kept.
ASSUMPTION · WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS
We assume the heat reflects production rather than maintenance. Shipping records showing no outbound cargo by 15 October would lower this assessment.
Supplier alert
What changed at a supplier, how far it has been checked, and what to do next.
ALERT
Supplier B (fictional), a tier-2 source for your part X, is likely (55–80%) to miss October deliveries. Our confidence is moderate: two independent local reports agree, but we have not yet checked the site.
WHAT WE SAW
B2Local news: a power outage at the industrial park enters its third day.
C2A second local outlet reports that two plants in the park have sent workers home.
C3Supplier B's job board has removed its night-shift postings.
WHY IT MATTERS TO YOU
Your tier-1 supplier sources about a third of part X through Supplier B, according to the list you shared.
RECOMMENDED NEXT STEPS
Ask your tier-1 supplier for stock on hand and an alternative source this week. If you need certainty, request a site check; we agree its scope and timing with you first.
Site check report
A scoped, lawful check that answers a yes-or-no question with evidence.
QUESTION AGREED WITH THE CLIENT
Does Factory C (fictional) operate at its declared address, at a scale consistent with its declared shipments?
METHOD
Observation from public roads on two days; check of the public business registry; screening of all photos for manipulation. No entry to the premises.
FINDINGS
FIELDExists at the declared address: yes. Signage and registry match; photos 2 Oct 10:42 local time, location and device data kept.
FIELDOperating: partly. Two of four loading bays were active on both days.
Scale consistent with declared shipments: unlikely (20–45%). Our confidence is low: we observed on two weekdays only.
LIMITS
Daytime observation only; no access to production records. A records check or a night visit would raise confidence.
Document integrity check
Screening a document before anyone relies on it, with its limits stated.
ITEM
Certificate of origin for shipment D (fictional), PDF scan, 2 pages.
RESULT
Flagged. The country-of-origin field was very likely (80–95%) edited after the certificate was issued. We have high confidence in this judgment: three independent checks point the same way.
WHAT THE CHECKS SHOWED
ELACompression level around the origin field differs from the rest of the page.
FONTThe field uses a different version of the typeface than the surrounding text.
METAFile metadata shows an edit six days after the issue date.
LIMITS · NEXT STEP
Forensic signals show that a file was changed, not who changed it or why. Ask the issuing chamber to confirm the original before acting.
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